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I was reading up on the Latin American wars of liberation and I came across the interesting fact that Venezuela and Puerto Rico were quite closely connected during the Napoleonic Wars due to PR being the closest port of call from Venezuela. So, if a few small PODs occur in the makeups of the juntas, is it possible for PR to become independent before 1815? What about during the 1820-1823 liberal revolt that led to Mexican independence (or during any subsequent governmental instability in Spain for that matter)?

Also, I assume that this is probably ASB, but just for the heck of it: would it be possible for Venezuela and PR to form a confederation? It can be as short-lived as possible, it just needs to be proclaimed by somebody and recognized by at least one other country.

What's your best guess of what an independent PR (assuming that it can happen without ASBs) would look like?
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