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In OTL, Martin Van Buren, former Democratic President (1837-1841) ran in 1848 as a Free Soiler, taking 10% of the vote and arguably stealing the election from Cass in favor of Taylor.

Let's say that Van Buren doesn't run. So Senator Lewis Cass of Michigan edges Taylor and becomes President.

With popular sovereignty, what happens with the slavery debate under Cass?
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