WI Post Trial In Pretoria June 12 1964 Nelson Mandella Is Hanged

What would be the implications for the RSA, Apartheid, the ANC and the world?
Glancing at recent related posts Apartheid would have ended with the end of the cold war anyway eventually and there had been meetings between the ANC, the RSA government and Big RSA corporations in the 80s so ground work had been laid.
I heard that in the embryonic stages of the Northern Ireland peace process all the parties were brought out to South Africa to meet Madiba, but such was the level of bitterness between the DUP ( extreme unionist-loyalist party, whoose boss was Paisley ) and Sinn Fein ( virtually their mirror opposite on the Republican side ), their leaders had to be flown out separately from each other, they also insisted on staying in different accomodation and guess what? The great man had to give his speech twice! Also the DUP representatives had seen the bar in the room where th Shinners were staying and were incensed as it was bigger than theirs, and pointed it out to the trip organisers, who retorted - but ye are mostly fundamentalist christians who do not drink at all and they responded - but that's not the point! Paisley refers to alcohol as the 'Devil's buttermilk' BTW several leading republicans including McGuiness don't drink either as they have witnessed the damage alcohol abuse has done to their heartland areas and people! There had also been talks about talks in Germany (Dusseldorf, I think)!
Without encouragement from The Grandfather of the Rainbow nation and his help on many other issues, the world would be much darker, hence my question on the global scale implications if he had been executed and thank God that did not happen!
 
well, I'd guess that ANC would go more radical, might drive the CPSA off, more radical means less white, coloured, Indian support, I'm unsure if no Mandella means no end to Apartheid, but the ANC never had the fire power to force the RSA to end Apartheid, the end of the Cold War helped bring the whites around (fear of a red state and all) also knowing the blacks weren't going to string them up or take there land, no Mandella to talk them down... and they never give up.
 
Apartheid was both a morally and economically bankrupt system. Internal opposition would have eventually casued it to fail.

I believe that negotiations to agree on how to move on from apartheid would have been much more difficult in the absence of Mandela. Demands to implement the freedom charter, including nationalisation of mines, banks, farms etc. would have been more strident from the left wing of the ANC. There would have been less willingness by the ANC to give concessions to appease the white right wingers. Probably much more violence from the right wing, terrorist bombings etc. although they were never strong enough to pose a serious threat. Eventually a negotiated settlement would have been reached.

Would definitely have been a much less liberal constitution. A new government headed up by Chris Hani or Thabo Mbeki would have had much more left wing leanings.

The major impact Mandela has had on post 1994 South Africa has been to bring about some reconcilaition between the races. Whilst there is still resentment amongst ANC politicians that most of the economy is still in (or pereceived to be in ) white hands and there are still many white recidivists SA is groping towards a multi racial society. Without Mandela's influence the policies of the government and rhetoric of the ANC would have led even more white South Aficans to despair of any future for themselves or their kids in SA.

By current day there would only be white South Africans left who either have no ties to other countries or no skills other countries need. One of the legacies of aprtheid was that in 1994 black South Africans had not had the opportunity to develop many of the skills required to maintain an industrial society. The skills loss of fleeing white South Africans would have reduced economic growth.

With nationalisation, particularly of mines and farms, there would have been a major reduction in exports and much lower food production. The currency would have become almost wortless and hunfger wisdespread. Without a vociferous opposition SA would have been much closer to a one party state, e.g. currently proposed press restrictions would have been long implemented. Probably similar path to Zimbabwe but not to as low an economic level and not so violent.

Eventually the loss of jobs and poverty, even worse than OTL, would have turned important sectors of society, particularly the unions against the ANC government. Eventually the unions would form an opposition party. The progress from that point on, violent government suppression or acceptance of a real democratic alternative government would determine whether SA would go the full Zimbabwe route or get back on an upward trend. My vote would be for the latter as there is a lot of sensible thinking within SA debate (ignoring of course the whiteys who would no longer be there) and a moderate course would prevail.
 
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