Wi: population exchange after the partition of India

Could a population exchange similar to 1923 population exchange between Greece and Turkey happen after the partition of India , where all of Pakistan's Hindu population is deported to India and all of India's Muslim population is deport to Pakistan both east and west .

What would be the impact on each countries internal development and there relationship with each other
 

CaliGuy

Banned
I suspect that the main impact of this would be more stress and pressure on Pakistan (more people = more strain for resources, et cetera); after all, most Pakistani Hindus did flee to India after the Partition in our TL.

Also, India would have trouble presenting itself as a secular state in this TL given its expulsion of its Muslim population.
 
Could a population exchange similar to 1923 population exchange between Greece and Turkey happen after the partition of India , where all of Pakistan's Hindu population is deported to India and all of India's Muslim population is deport to Pakistan both east and west .

What would be the impact on each countries internal development and there relationship with each other

So let's have a bloodbath even bigger than the horrendous one in OTL? For that is the *only* way to bring this about. “Expulsions are not practicable unless they are carried out quickly; and if they are carried out quickly, they cannot be carried out humanely."--R. M. Douglas, *Orderly and Humane: The Expulsion of the Germans after the Second World War* https://books.google.com/books?id=DeOzUL-HXb0C&pg=PT332

Besides, Nehru was a secularist, not a Hindu nationalist. There is no way he would have gone along with such an idea.
 
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CaliGuy

Banned
So let's have a bloodbath even bigger than the horrendous one in OTL? For that is the *only* way to bring this about. “Expulsions are not practicable unless they are carried out quickly; and if they are carried out quickly, they cannot be carried out humanely."--R. M. Douglas, *Orderly and Humane: The Expulsion of the Germans after the Second World War* https://books.google.com/books?id=DeOzUL-HXb0C&pg=PT332

Out of curiosity--while I'm certainly not advocating expulsions, why exactly can't expulsions be carried out slowly?

Besides, Nehru was a secularist, not a Hindu nationalist. There is no way he would have gone along with such an idea.

Yep--hence my point above:

Also, India would have trouble presenting itself as a secular state in this TL given its expulsion of its Muslim population.

Indeed, even right now, I think that India still officially identifies as a secular state.
 
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One major problem with the idea of a deportation of Hindus to India and Muslims to Pakistan (both Pakistans) is that the numbers were uneven.

Around 1950, for instance, there were about 35 million Muslims in India (35.4 million in 1951 according to that year's census). This compared to a total Pakistani population of 75 million in 1951, of which 33.7 million were in West Pakistan and a half-million were Hindu (almost two million Sindhu Hindus having emigrated) and 42 million in East Pakistan and 13.4 million Hindus.

I suspect that India would be able to eventually accommodate and resettle the Hindu deportees from the two Pakistans. Would Pakistan be able to handle the huge influx of Indian Muslims? A largely unindustrialized and poor country might not be able to handle such a huge influx of people without terrible things happening subsequently. Pakistan might well become especially dependent on foreign aid.
 
Out of curiosity--while I'm certainly not advocating expulsions, why exactly can't expulsions be carried out slowly.

You need an atmosphere of crisis for huge population expulsions to be agreed on in the first place. If dominant Group A in a country is told "minority Group B is a clear and present danger to this country's security" Group A people are not likely to take the attitude "ok, well, we can gradually get all members of B to leave the country over years or decades..." And governments are not likely to spend the large amounts of money, police or military resources, etc. needed to protect Group B (who after all are "undesirables"--that's why they are scheduled for eventual expulsion) in the interim. But Douglas in *Orderly and Humane* explains it better than I can: https://books.google.com/books?id=DeOzUL-HXb0C&pg=PT333
 
You need an atmosphere of crisis for huge population expulsions to be agreed on in the first place. If dominant Group A in a country is told "minority Group B is a clear and present danger to this country's security" Group A people are not likely to take the attitude "ok, well, we can gradually get all members of B to leave the country over years or decades..." And governments are not likely to spend the large amounts of money, police or military resources, etc. needed to protect Group B (who after all are "undesirables"--that's why they are scheduled for eventual expulsion) in the interim. But Douglas in *Orderly and Humane* explains it better than I can: https://books.google.com/books?id=DeOzUL-HXb0C&pg=PT333

Agreed entirely.

India becoming a sectarian Hindu state that would engage in religious cleansing might be imaginable, I suppose, but the net result would be terrible suffering.
 
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