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What would happen to the French Monarchy? Would it turn more clerical, and, later on, make the possibility of the presence of Calvinists/Lutherans on French soil very unlikely? Would it result in a development of a decent nation-state in Italy before the 1800' ?

For this to happen, let's say that Gregorius XI reveals his intentions of bringing the Papacy back to Rome too early, and, in 1376, Charles V, in a moment of either brightness or in a show of his usual insanity, orders to kill Gregorius. The next Pope, out of fear, decides to not move the Papacy away from Avignon.
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