WI: Poland gains independence peacefully

[Emperor_Coz]

Lol its unlikely I know,but keep in mind this was 100 years ago,so 500M$US will be worth more.Also keep in mind im not a historian nor an economist and I know this is almost impossible.

Also Alaska was sold for much less,but that was 75 years before my POD,so...

 

[kasumigenx]

Have the Cieszyn Habsburgs revive Poland with Cieszyn and Galicia as Nucleus...

 

[warstar347]

How do you get a "Red Army" if the Emperor isn't violently overthrown? In fact, in OTL it wasn't formed until almost a year after he was overthrown. And anyway independence as a result of a war, international or civil, doesn't look like "peacefully" to me.

The Poles were peacefully and just pressured for independence, threatening to joint the communists. It would make it harder for the Empire to deal with the internal menaces, so the Emperor would very likely give them their desired freedom without necessary blood in the Poles hands.
Furthermore, we gotta know exactly the period when it would happen. I thought about this scenario after the end of WWI (around 1919), where the war was beginning to reach its peak andthe moment for a turning point in the conflict occured. There, the Red Army started the comeback to win. So definetely, the only agressive aspects of that scenario would come by the revolutionary communists, not by the Poles or the Ukrainians, who just took advantage of the chaotic situation without having to lose one single citizen in the war.

 

[M79]

Have the UK, France, and USA refuse to provide aid or materials to Russia in 1915 without a written guarantee and timetable for Polish independence. Use this as a framework for her independence in 1918. Promote cooperatiom with newly independent Czechloslovakia, Lithuania, Hungary, Romania, & Ukraine as a five-power pact with the industry, manpower, innovation, and means to fend off Germany and the early USSR.

 

[Coulsdon Eagle]

Have the UK, France, and USA refuse to provide aid or materials to Russia in 1915 without a written guarantee and timetable for Polish independence. Use this as a framework for her independence in 1918. Promote cooperatiom with newly independent Czechloslovakia, Lithuania, Hungary, Romania, & Ukraine as a five-power pact with the industry, manpower, innovation, and means to fend off Germany and the early USSR.

Russia responds by approaching Germany for a separate white peace (possible in early 1915). Nicholas II observes that his father should never have sought agreement with those Republicans, and he should have responded to Britain with armies on the borders of Persia & Afghanistan (even if impossible!).