WI: Poland and Hungary partition Slovakia

BigBlueBox

Banned
Let's say that Germany and Hungary had some kind of falling out around the time of the Munich Crisis, resulting in the First Vienna Award never happening. Germany still creates the Protectorate of Bohemia and Moravia and the Slovak Republic still comes into existence as a German ally. What if Hungary decides to invade the Slovak Republic, and Poland joins in? Will Germany go to war against them? How does the UK, France, Romania, and the Soviet Union react?
 

raharris1973

Gone Fishin'
Donor
Monthly Donor
What if Hungary decides to invade the Slovak Republic, and Poland joins in?

If it is just the three participants above, Slovakia is partitioned

Will Germany go to war against them?

Yes

How does the UK, France, Romania, and the Soviet Union react?

You didn't ask how Italy felt. Apparently though, a common Polish-Hungarian border was something he favored, even while the Germans opposed it very much.

UK - hmm, they have more in the way of excuses to avoid making any commitments on Central European borders.

France- in terms of pure strategy, they are going to be inclined to think of Poland and Hungary more as Allies, but British standoffishness gives them an excuse for inaction.

Romania- allies with Germany against Hungary, while seeking to avoid direct fighting with Poland, in which they have no interest.

Soviet Union? No more likely than OTL to be offered a credible alliance by the west, likely to side with Germany to revise the Polish border.

On the other hand, if for some reason the Soviets prioritize their claim to Bessarabia and focus their hostility on the Romanians, they may go for Bessarabia, and thereby be indirect, de facto allies of Poland and Hungary, and may seek Bulgarian support to make despoiling Romania easier by doing it from all sides.
 

BigBlueBox

Banned
You didn't ask how Italy felt. Apparently though, a common Polish-Hungarian border was something he favored, even while the Germans opposed it very much.

UK - hmm, they have more in the way of excuses to avoid making any commitments on Central European borders.

France- in terms of pure strategy, they are going to be inclined to think of Poland and Hungary more as Allies, but British standoffishness gives them an excuse for inaction.

Romania- allies with Germany against Hungary, while seeking to avoid direct fighting with Poland, in which they have no interest.

Soviet Union? No more likely than OTL to be offered a credible alliance by the west, likely to side with Germany to revise the Polish border.

On the other hand, if for some reason the Soviets prioritize their claim to Bessarabia and focus their hostility on the Romanians, they may go for Bessarabia, and thereby be indirect, de facto allies of Poland and Hungary, and may seek Bulgarian support to make despoiling Romania easier by doing it from all sides.

Would the Romanians really interfere? As you said, they would be more worried about Bessarabia. Poland and Romania had very good relations, can't they convince the Romanians that Hungary isn't going to turn on them next? But if you really think that Romania is going to intervene, would Yugoslavia intervene as well?
 

raharris1973

Gone Fishin'
Donor
Monthly Donor
But if you really think that Romania is going to intervene, would Yugoslavia intervene as well?

Maybe- to both pay lip service to the Balkan Entente and endear themselves to the Germans, in the hope of getting protection from the Yugoslavs.
 
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