The Russo-Turkish war was once quite close to ending in an ottoman victory. According to Wikipedia's article on the course of the war:
"Osman Pasha organized a defense and repelled two Russian attacks with colossal casualties on the Russian side. At that point, the sides were almost equal in numbers and the Russian army was very discouraged.[36] Most analysts agree that a counter-attack would have allowed the Ottomans to gain control of, and destroy, the Russians' bridge.[who?] However, Osman Pasha had orders to stay fortified in Plevna, and so he did not leave that fortress."
But what if Osman had decided to disobey his orders, or what if the ottoman high command had seen the opportunity gap and ordered him to attack?
Assuming that this would lead to an ottoman victory in the overall war...
-What would the post-bellum map look like? How much of the balkans and the eastern mediterranean will remain in ottoman hands? Will there be further uprisings against ottoman rule?
-How well off will the ottomans be from the war? Will they be seen as a great power once again and not as "the sick man of Europe"? Will there be further "tanzimat" reforms?
-What will happen to Russia after their army is routed from the war? Will there be revanchism or will anger against the tsar be greater than that? Is there possibility for political reform as a compromise?
-Considering that the balkan crises against Austria led to Russia leaving the Three Emperors' League, is there a chance for such an alliance to survive in this scenario?
"Osman Pasha organized a defense and repelled two Russian attacks with colossal casualties on the Russian side. At that point, the sides were almost equal in numbers and the Russian army was very discouraged.[36] Most analysts agree that a counter-attack would have allowed the Ottomans to gain control of, and destroy, the Russians' bridge.[who?] However, Osman Pasha had orders to stay fortified in Plevna, and so he did not leave that fortress."
But what if Osman had decided to disobey his orders, or what if the ottoman high command had seen the opportunity gap and ordered him to attack?
Assuming that this would lead to an ottoman victory in the overall war...
-What would the post-bellum map look like? How much of the balkans and the eastern mediterranean will remain in ottoman hands? Will there be further uprisings against ottoman rule?
-How well off will the ottomans be from the war? Will they be seen as a great power once again and not as "the sick man of Europe"? Will there be further "tanzimat" reforms?
-What will happen to Russia after their army is routed from the war? Will there be revanchism or will anger against the tsar be greater than that? Is there possibility for political reform as a compromise?
-Considering that the balkan crises against Austria led to Russia leaving the Three Emperors' League, is there a chance for such an alliance to survive in this scenario?