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In the case of the Ottoman dynasty truly screwing up and an uprising against them, what would be the most likely result? Imagine they lost Constantinople, or pushed a reform effort too far, or were seen as being deeply unIslamic for some other reason. If you need a time period, let's focus on the 1700s.

Would the Empire break up into local warlords? Would another dynasty be able to take over and restore the empire? Who would claim the caliphate? Would there be preference for an Arab or Qurayyshi dynasty?
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