Wallace seems unlikely to beat the Republicans in November 1944, so the final decisions regarding Germany and Japan are almost certainly going to be made by Dewey, who is far more likely to win ( he did win 45% of the vote as it is in OTL). Running against not FDR, I think he would certainly get that extra few percentage points
I believed Dewey would have used the bomb as Downfall was going to be horrendously costly no matter whose casualty estimates you look at
However, that probably means no United Nations, and it would cost us one of my favorite Presidents (Truman)
Of course this assumes that Wallace even gets the nomination. As he was viewed as far Left even in the Democratic Party (which is why he was dropped from the ticket) that is no certainty either
As to the Soviet Union... Stavka hated the NKVD (after all, many surviving generals had friends who got purged or were survivors of the Gulag themselves) and the chance to taint Beria (assuming he survived) would be overwhelming. My guess is that the same thing happens that happened when Stalin died in OTL. The Army sides with the Party and they purge the NKVD after eliminating Beria. Post war the Party rebuilds the NKVD as the Army gets too big for its britches (as it did in OTL in the 50s)
Of the three, the British actually have the most stable coalition in 1943
I believed Dewey would have used the bomb as Downfall was going to be horrendously costly no matter whose casualty estimates you look at
However, that probably means no United Nations, and it would cost us one of my favorite Presidents (Truman)
Of course this assumes that Wallace even gets the nomination. As he was viewed as far Left even in the Democratic Party (which is why he was dropped from the ticket) that is no certainty either
As to the Soviet Union... Stavka hated the NKVD (after all, many surviving generals had friends who got purged or were survivors of the Gulag themselves) and the chance to taint Beria (assuming he survived) would be overwhelming. My guess is that the same thing happens that happened when Stalin died in OTL. The Army sides with the Party and they purge the NKVD after eliminating Beria. Post war the Party rebuilds the NKVD as the Army gets too big for its britches (as it did in OTL in the 50s)
Of the three, the British actually have the most stable coalition in 1943