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I was wondering how WWII would go if the Nazi leadership made the strategic decision to not try and strangle Britain through a U-boat campaign. It seems to be a plausible point of divergence to me because there wasn't a specific high-ranking Nazi pushing for it. (For instance how Goering was the advocate of the Luftwaffe) Also, Germany had tried to use a U-boat campaign in the last war and it ultimately failed.

So what are the strategic butterflies of this? I believe a pretty good chunk of Nazi warmaking potential was tied up in the Battle of the Atlantic, and fewer U-boats means more planes and panzers. Also, there would be less direct conflict between the U.S.A. and Nazi Germany. Assume the rest of the Kreigsmarine stays basically the same, the Bismarks still get built for prestige, etc.
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