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Suppose Johnson decided not to send ground troops to Vietnam. I have an idea that had the Republicans ran a different candidate in 64 Tonkin gulf might not have been such a big thing.
Imagine Johnson beats Dirkson and Wallace in 64. Probably Johnson wins I see something like a margin of 51/37 / 8 in the popular vote. I suspect that Dirkson might even come 3rd in the electoral vote.
A section of the Republican party will try to make the 'loss' or risk of losing Vietnam a big issue.
I wonder how much 68 would resemble 64 were Goldwater to be nominated