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Let's say in 1914 Britain sits out the war and doesn't enter due to Belgium (the otl UK government was fence sitting on it and a different set of personalities might very well have decided not to enter the war). Germany is even more successful in 1914 against the French and takes more of the industrialized NE France though it falls short of capturing Paris.

Let's say by early 1916 France and Russia folds: France can't economically continue the war without direct British involvement and with too much of its industries fallen to Germany. Russia suffers same defeats otl and as France surrenders it throws in the towel. Italy joined the CP and Ottoman remains neutral.

Let's say Russia loses Poland and some of the Baltics/Galicia but nowwhere close to OTL Brest-Litvosk. France maybe loses Savorie to Italy and gets reversed Versailles with the frontier demilitarized and heavy indemnities imposed. France is basically knocked out from the ranks of the Great powers but Russia actually don't suffer a revolution (at least immediately).

How does the UK react to this situation? Does it make accommodations with Germany, does it try to put together an anti-German alliance on the continent? Does it draw closer together with the US to create a trans-Atlantic partnership to counter Germany and double down on the empire?
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