The economy on election day 2008 is the same is it was in January-August 2008. Does Obama still win all the states that he won OTL?
Indeed, but does Obama still win Indiana and North Carolina?The economy before the crash was already bad. This, in addition to the unpopularity of the Iraq War, means that Obama still wins - but by a somewhat smaller margin.
Indeed, but does Obama still win Indiana and North Carolina?
Probably not. But he still gets a clear electoral college majority of over 300 votes.
A slightly stronger McCain performance might mean the Republicans manage to win the senate races in Alaska and Minnesota though which will make passing ObamaCare much more difficult.