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Suppose following the February Revolution, Germany did not provide passage for Lenin and his fellow exiles in Switzerland, and that the Provisional Government offered a peace in April.
Now I imagine the PRS will likely do well in the elections that year (as they did OTL), so let me start by asking: How would they govern? How would the Bolsheviks get on? And overall, what would be the prospects for the Russian "Republic"?
(TBC, though I offer a PoD in 1917, I'm actually thinking of this as part of a CP winning WWI TL, similar to ideas discussed in thesethreads.
Also, I realize a TL similar to this idea is in the works; Space Oddity's certainly telling it well...