WI; No nukes

One possibility for no A-bombs was the original possibility (very small, so was ignored) that they thought the bomb might ignite the atmosphere. Now hoe about if someone made a mistake in calculation and brought the possibility higher - say to 33%. Now with a 1/3 chance of killing everyone on the planet if it were used, I dont think they'd have tried it.
This way, all the other discoveries stay the same, we just lose the bomb.
 
No Nukes,could allow the Berlin blockade to become the trigger for WW3. I'm sure the Soviets would'nt hesitate from shooting down Western cargo plans. Events could escalate from there...
 
Why would the Soviets even wait that long? If America is bogged down with an invasion of the Japanese home islands, wouldn't that be the perfect time to strike? I think the only reason Stalin didn't start ww3 was the atomic bomb.
 
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