WI: No Mongolian Empire?

What would have happened had Temujin (Genghis Khan) had failed at unifying the tribes of Mongolia, and never went to the Empire Building/ Conquest spree that he did? How would the world have changed with out the Mongolian Empire?
 

Deleted member 67076

Oh boy, this opens up a can of worms.

Well for one, you've spared ~85 million people, and have left Persia and Mesopotamia massively stronger, more populated and less arid than they would otherwise be.

Poland, Hungary, Bulgaria, the Seljuks and the Russian states are similarly stronger.

As well, you've delayed the spread of gunpowder into Europe and have slowed Europe's military development.
 
You've also butterflied the Black Death, which means that feudalism will stick around longer and Europe will be far more prone to famine and internecine warfare (yes, even MORE so than OTL). You've definitely delayed industrialization, or at least its prospects of starting in Europe.

Industrialization in Song China, however...

There's also a good chance that Islam will be far less radicalized in the long run. Not to mention all those texts in the Bayt al-Hikma aren't going to be burned any time soon... Baghdad will remain an important world city.
 
You've also butterflied the Black Death, which means that feudalism will stick around longer and Europe will be far more prone to famine and internecine warfare (yes, even MORE so than OTL). You've definitely delayed industrialization, or at least its prospects of starting in Europe.

You will see a strong boom and bust cycle with short intervals as the late 13th/early 14th c. saw a population high at near or above Europe's carrying capacity given the agriculture at the time.

Certainly labour relations stay old-fashioned.

Not sure if you're really butterflied the Black Death though (its endemic in North China and the Eastern Steppe is in the exact same position as Europe regarding boom/bust), merely made the timing and route of its arrival quite unpredictable.

Industrialization in Song China, however...

...has already been scuppered by neo-Confucian revival in politics and scholarship and economics, and would need another major internal policy change to start trending that way again.

As for Hungary - they will likely not embark on their historical building projects of fortifications and so on without the Mongols. There's also much less of a Cuman factor in Bulgaria and Hungary, but a stronger one in Russia and Georgia instead.
 
Plenty of steppe peoples and probably there are other charismatic leaders of genius among them. The socio-ecological niche almost begs for it. ;) No doubt with varying outcomes, all different from OTL.

I think that, without the Mongol Conquest, there was just enough East/West interaction for the Black Death to reach Europe anyway.
 
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