WI No Justinian?

So Justinian gets struck by lightning and dies before he can plan the Roman reconquest of North Africa, Spain, and Italy. What happens?

How will the continued existence of an Ostrogothic state in Italy fair? And the other barbarian states?
 
Neither of those wars is likely to have been prevented without Ioustinianos.

Roman-Gothic tensions had been heating up for quite some time. During the reign of Anastasios I, for instance, there was a serious crisis over Sirmion that had an excellent chance of leading to war. East-West religious relations were in the toilet too, due in part to the Akakian schism. I can absolutely see a Roman-Gothic war without Ioustinianos.

Roman-Vandal is even easier; the reconquest of Africa had been on the drawing board since at least 468.
 
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