WI:No Invasion of Belgium 1914

Schlieffen actually considered this exact scenario and published some of it under a series of documents called "Cannae" after the Punic battle with Hannibal. His plan was exactly that of Hannibal's - draw the French in, encircle them, and destroy them on German (Alsace/Lorraine) soil. This leave the West open for a *large* German army to eviscerate the eastern/Industrial section of France. If it works, Paris falls fairly quickly and the war might end before the UK even gets to deploy serious forces on the continent. If it fails the French have Alsace/Lorraine back and the Germans have to defend from the Rhine.

What changed the plan was the Russian loss to Japan in 1905 and the decision that Russia's army was no longer such a credible threat as it was even a decade prior. Make Schlieffen realize that Russia is a serious player and his defence planning may change accordingly. And note that Russia is likely to fare poorly in either TL. Ultimately the US stays out, and if the war goes quickly for Germany look for a milder treaty with the whole of Lorraine going German along with Morocco, Indochina, and perhaps making Franche-Comte and independent state under German "protection". Possibly Luxembourg becomes German as well.
 
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