WI: No Convention of Reichenbach?

In 1790 Prussia was supporting rebels across the Hapsburg empire and attempting an alliance with revolutionary France while Austria was finishing a war with the Turks that could have lead to a much larger Austrian empire.

Basically the two countries were at each others throats until the new emperor Leopold II took control and negotiated the Convention of Reichenbach where Austria agreed not to annex territory in the Balkans and Prussia agreed to stop supporting rebels across the empire and above all to form an alliance with Austria in containment of revolutionary France leading to the First Coalition.

My question is what if these two rivals never attempted diplomacy? Would they end up at war with one another? Would France side with Prussia, would they even be willing to go to war without an invasion? How would Austria look if they did start annexing Balkan territories?

This seems to me an overlooked POD that could have far reaching consequences.
 
I think France would only have held the support of the Prussian monarchy inasmuch as they didn't do anything absurd (like dethrone the king, chop off the heads of him and a fair portion of the aristocracy a la Periander). The author of the Brunswick manifesto was after all a Prussian General - as well as the brother-in-law of George III of England.

IMHO the minute France does anything that affects the position of the king Prussia's gonna make like a skittish horse. Remember this isn't Fritz who's absolute king of Prussia, who believed "a crown is a hat that lets the rain in", this is his nephew, Friedrich Wilhelm II, a man much influenced by mysticism and Rosicrucianism etc, who is unfortunately remembered by most historians as "der dicke luderjahn" (the fat bastard).
 
I know that necromancy is heavily frowned upon on this board, but I have some points to bring up that the previous posters failed to do so.

The Convention of Reichenbach and the resulting treaty resulted in the downfall of the nascent Prussian-Polish alliance created only three months ago. This allowed the third and final partition of Poland-Lithuania to happen 2 years later, which completely destroyed the Polish nation-state for over a century. If there wasn't such a convention, then the Prussians will be more liable to support the Polish and their reforms of the Constitution, allowing Poland-Lithuania to survive.
 
I know that necromancy is heavily frowned upon on this board, but I have some points to bring up that the previous posters failed to do so.

The Convention of Reichenbach and the resulting treaty resulted in the downfall of the nascent Prussian-Polish alliance created only three months ago. This allowed the third and final partition of Poland-Lithuania to happen 2 years later, which completely destroyed the Polish nation-state for over a century. If there wasn't such a convention, then the Prussians will be more liable to support the Polish and their reforms of the Constitution, allowing Poland-Lithuania to survive.

I have to disagree with you here. Russia was fundamentally opposed to the Polish reforms and the possible revival of the Polish state. Catherine the Great wouldn't tolerate a resurgent Polish state and would eventually take action against Warsaw. Unless Prussia is willing to risk war with Russia Poland is still screwed.
 
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