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Let's say that, for whatever reason, the Cajuns never come to exist. Maybe there is never an Expulsion of the Acadians and the Francophones of Acadie stay in their homeland. Perhaps the Acadians are resettled en masse elsewhere, in Canada or France or the Falklands. (True story.) Whatever the reason, the nearly two thousand people who, in OTL, migrated to southern Louisiana never do so.

What happens next? What are the consequences for Louisiana? I do not see an absence of Cajuns playing a notable role in the history of Spanish Louisiana, or as being likely to interfere with the eventual transfer of Louisiana to the United States. Wealth and power in colonial Louisiana seem to have been concentrated among the Creoles living near the mouth of the Mississippi, not among the proto-Cajuns further west.

The consequences of a no-Cajuns timeline seem likely to significant later in the 19th century. With fewer Francophone settlers, particularly with the Cajuns' homeland not being settled under Spanish rule, Louisiana might become Americanized that much more quickly. This could have significant consequences.

Thoughts?
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