The POD is that Bin Laden gets eaten by a bear before he got radicalized OTL, and as a result, Al-Qaeda never exists. What would happen in terms of Bush 43’s Presidency, Iraq, etc.?
It happened shortly before one of the debates, yet never came up during the debate, so I don’t think so.The USS Cole disaster does not happen in October, 2000. Does it influence a close upcoming presidential election?
Gore was an environmentalist and former military journalist. Bush trained pilots stateside. No attack could have swayed just enough voters in Vermont to not vote for Nader or Bush and that would have turned the election.It happened shortly before one of the debates, yet never came up during the debate, so I don’t think so.
Oklahoma City happened in 1995 and the Unabomber was incarcerated the same year, so I don’t see how either could have any effect on the 21st century.You still have Oklahoma City and the Unabomber, probably other domestic terror incidents fill in the vacuum left by no Al Qaida
Oklahoma City happened in 1995 and the Unabomber was incarcerated the same year, so I don’t see how either could have any effect on the 21st century.
Since the embassy in Somalia was bombed in 1998, that is more significant than the Cole. The Cole happened so close to the election that there was little time for discussion. Somalia wasn't exactly a household subject, but it wasn't forgotten.No embassy bombings either.
There was no politically correct way a candidate could have supported a program against lone wolves, one never on the radar and one cleverly hidden.Oklahoma City happened in 1995 and the Unabomber was incarcerated the same year, so I don’t see how either could have any effect on the 21st century.
The Great Recession was the product of greedy banking practice incubated by the curtailment of Glass-Steagall. If Bush wins in 2000 and implements his tax cuts, something will happen. If he loses mid-terms and is defeated in 2004, the recession is lessened, but how much? If Gore wins 2000, it would be lessened very much. If legislators were alerted, there is some small chance it could have been stopped.Great Recession might or might not happen. Without 9/11 the Federal Funds rate probably does not drop all the way to 1% and with the greater concern over financial misgivings relaxation of the net Capital rule is less likely. May be enough to prevent it, may just make it milder or delay it
...
Great Recession might or might not happen. Without 9/11 the Federal Funds rate probably does not drop all the way to 1% and with the greater concern over financial misgivings relaxation of the net Capital rule is less liekly. May be enough to prevent it, may just make it milder or delay it
Bush's tax cuts had nothing to do with the matter. The issue was Fed rates hitting rock bottom and a massive inflow of foreign capital due to US trade imbalance leaving a surplus of dollars that had to go somewhere. As such borrowing money became ridiculously cheap so everybody did it. When things inevitably had to change, many people who borrowed could not afford the rates and defaulted. This led to the chain reaction of failure led to by repeal of Glass-Steagall, relaxing the Net Capital Rule and so much extra money in the systemThe Great Recession was the product of greedy banking practice incubated by the curtailment of Glass-Steagall. If Bush wins in 2000 and implements his tax cuts, something will happen. If he loses mid-terms and is defeated in 2004, the recession is lessened, but how much? If Gore wins 2000, it would be lessened very much. If legislators were alerted, there is some small chance it could have been stopped.
That's unlikely, the Dot Com bubble bursting already triggered one in 2001 that 9/11 made worse, the economy has not time to climb back upOne better case scenario is a briefer & shallower recession circa 2003-2005 shakes out the housing/mortage sector & prevents the festering that made the eventual crash so bad.
It's the DotCom crash that in part made the housing bubble, as to fight it interest rates went from 6.5% to 1% and made the crazy mortgages possible. In any case since a recession just happened you won't get anther one to shake up the market until a certain time-span afterwards, by which point its probably too late, the housing bubble popped in early '06 but things didn't really go nuts until September '08. A recession in 2006 does nothing because the dominoes are already fallingThe DotCom bubble pop did not much rationalize the housing sector. For all the idiots charging for the housing finance cliff the DotCom thing may as well not happened. We needed a readjustment in the housing sector, earlier the better.
It's the DotCom crash that in part made the housing bubble, as to fight it interest rates went from 6.5% to 1% and made the crazy mortgages possible.