IOTL, the unsuccessful assassination attempt (the so-called Otsu Incident) during the Nicholas II's 1891 state visit to Japan was a huge diplomatic disaster for the Japanese, but it stopped far short of turning into all out war due to cool heads prevailing on both sides. But assume that the future czar was killed that day. Would hostilities break out in this scenario? If so, how would a Russo-Japanese conflict in the early 1890s play out? I've always been under the impression that on paper, Russian naval and land forces far outclassed their Japanese counterparts during this time period (Japanese naval buildup had yet to reach its apex, etc), but how would an actual conflict in the seas and on the ground play out?
edit: Just realized I should've posted this in pre-1900. Please move it there.