alternatehistory.com

What if Neil Kinnock and the Labour Party won the 1992 UK election? I made some alternate results, using Electoral Calculus, producing only a small, but ultimately critical, swing from the Conservatives to labour and the LibDems.
1992 UK election
Neil Kinnock-Labour: 302+73 36.4%
John Major-Conservative: 299-77 39.4%
Paddy Ashdown-LibDem: 26+4 18.3%
651 seats
326 for majority

The most relevant parallel is the February 1974 UK election, in which Labour also lost the popular vote but won a bare minority government. This 1992 is essentially that on steroids. Labour forms a government with LibDem support, either a coalition or minority with confidence and supply, and they have a bare 5-seat majority.

What PoD could lead to this result? What would be the effects of this result? Labour would likely take the blame for the economic problems of the 1990s and Black Wednesday. In opposition, the Tories could revive themselves? Who would they elect as leader to replace John Major? Would Labour last in government until the 1997 election, or would there be an earlier election? How would Kinnock do as PM? How would the next election go(probably a Tory win) and what would be the effects? What would be the longer term impact on UK politics? What if?
Top