Italy attacking Yugoslavia leads to Croatia suing for peace and joining the Axis and Serbia giving Italy a drubbing whereby Germany intervenes making Serbia surrender and the Partisan War begins.
Italy attacking Yugoslavia leads to Croatia suing for peace and joining the Axis and Serbia giving Italy a drubbing whereby Germany intervenes making Serbia surrender and the Partisan War begins.
If the attack happens on 28 October 1940, Italians will not find much support among the Croats. The pro-allies coup was also a Serb unitarist coup that drove the Croats into the hands of the axist and removed the will of Croatian members of the Yugoslav army to resist. In late 1940 the relations between Zagreb and Belgrade are the historical high in the inter-war period. Croats got what they wanted, their own administrative unit and most Serbs were content with them getting everything else east of Banovina in every way but name. If Italy invades on the mentioned day or at any time prior to the unitarst coup Croats will fight all the hardest because that now, after finally "solving" their situation, here comes the "ancient" enemy (at the time Croatian newspapers and intelectual circles considered Italians simply as a modern form of Venetians) bent on taking a big chunk of what can finaly be considered theirs. The Ustaša never had any real support among the people outside the brief period between late April and early July 1941. In this scenario they would be considered traitors of the worst kind if the side with Italy. Also knowing the ideology of many of the leading Ustaša they would most likely brand their leader Pavelić as traitor and join the war effort against the Italians and Hungarians (another "ancient" enemy) as a volunteer formation.