WI: Muslims stay as a strongly Republican block

Probably neglible effect psephologically - they're a) too small a population on their own to be significant in and of themselves unlike Mexican Americans or African Americans and b) unlike the Jews or Cubans, aren't in significant enough numbers in a particular state to sway a state in the Presidentials (they're concentrated in areas that are overwhelmingly Democratic, like NYC). Maybe the Republicans pick up a few more seats in House elections (I'm thinking the outer boroughs of NYC and in suburban Southern California), and Minnesota Senate seats if the race is close enough.
 
Perhaps Michigan leans a tad more into the Republican camp in national elections.

Problem is that there are still too many Democrats for them to make that much of a difference, barring the AFL-CIO endorsing the Republican candidate, which is ASB with any party right of center.

They can't summon the size of the Catholics, and they're not strategically placed in any swing state like the Jews.

EDIT: Actually, in MN, they could very well keep Norm Coleman in the Senate.
 
Problem is that there are still too many Democrats for them to make that much of a difference, barring the AFL-CIO endorsing the Republican candidate, which is ASB with any party right of center.

Notice I said "a tad". Maybe it'd be as solidly swing-ish as, say, Pennsylvania.
 
So you would essentially only change the 2008 Senate election result to 58-42 in favor of the Dems, and 54-46 in 2012 (Klobuchar would have been elected overwhelmingly anyway)

Actually, let me amend that. Given butterflies, Minnesota might pull for Romney. Depending on how they voted OTL, you might ban gay marriagein Minnesota. So the potential losers in such a scenario would be Al Franken and gay people in MN.
 

Meerkat92

Banned
Perhaps Michigan leans a tad more into the Republican camp in national elections.

That's always confused me: why does Michigan, of all places, have such a comparatively high Muslim population? What is the appeal of Michigan? :confused:
 
The US is only about .6% Islamic. If they're strongly Republican, we can assume that about .55% of Muslims vote Republican. That's not enough to swing any national election after 2000. A few House elections, maybe.
 
Top