What if Mongke Khan, leader of the Mongol Empirefrom 1251 to 1259, had lived a bit longer? Say, to the age of 60 or 65?
It is often stated that his death was to blame for the mongol defeat at the Battle of Ain Jalut (1260) against the mamluks, since the khan's death forced many mongol troops to be recalled to Kharakorum to participate in the sucession assembly. Had Mongke lived longer, would this lead to a mongol victory in the battle due to larger numbers?
Could we see a mongol khanate estabilished in Egypt? If so, then what would its name be? Considering that Egypt was south of the mongol-turkic heartlands, that the turco-mongols used color-coding for their compass direcrions, and that the mongols used upside-down world maps, then would this mongol Egypt be called the "Black Horde"? Just a thought.
Also, since the Abbasid caliph fled to Cairo after the Ilkhanate took Baghdad, where would he go to if Cairo also fell?