That map is kind of incomplete s the German would never take Poland and not take Danzig. Also Czechoslovakia has to be divided in order for the German army to be as it was when Barbarossa launches. With Czechoslovakia still intact one comes to suspect the country is still free and thus Neutral, making Hungary neutral as well(as it never claimed some regions in Slovakia and Romania with German blessings) and adding Romania as Neutral too. That way, bad position for the Germans to launch Barbarossa.
But if you insist on that map. Lets assume Czechoslovakia, Hungary and Romania are in the axis.
Well the border would be extremely difficult now for the Germans. They got a huge bubble in the North with Lithuania. That would probably mean East Prussia would have to be heavily armed to prevent any kind of pincher movement in that region straight too the coast. Next to that the Soviets are further into Poland then OTL so that region has to be crossed by the Germans befor they can actually enter the Soviet Union. It will take longer and be harder.
Also, according to that map not only do the Soviets have all of Finland in hands(which is highly unlikely) But Germany doesn't hold Norway. That frees a lot of Soviet forces for the defense of the motherland(plus Finnish troops on the side of the Soviets). I think the Soviets are going to recover quicker from the blow of Barbarossa then OTL.