Here is the second draft of the ATL:
Put my beliefs out there for this
1946: Benjamin "Bugsy" Siegel establishes the "Kingdom of Vice" in Las Vegas, Nevada, sparking controversy throughout the North American continent...
Since he's taking a bit from Hollywood and Deseret I'd avoid calling it "that" exactly but I like the idea as there's a nice straight highway between Salt Lake City and Vegas IOTL for a very good reason
(Be a 'neutral and protected' railroad ITTL though
Free City of Las Vegas maybe? (Unlike OTL the area would have fallen somewhat under Deseret so the "legal" underpinnings wouldn't be there but it's likely that by that time both Hollywood and Deseret could be made to see the "business opportunities" of the idea.)
My suspicions on the "bomb" is that TTL they would be seriously delayed unless Britain has a clear indication that the Germans are working on it already. And as I've pointed out I can't see the same WWII happening for reasons given. The big problem is that the German Jew diaspora OTL has issues because while the US took in a good number that won't happen TTL and what states will do so will not have the organization or resources to pursue the issue TTL. Granted all the pieces were in place for the idea in Britain but, again, the resources and will probably won't be given the bureaucracy of the period. Everyone by the late 40s knew that a bomb could be built but no one other than the US had started a crash program to get the materials and methods in place and without the excess US effort the entire thing will probably be shelved till well after the war.
1951: Argentina under President Juan Peron announces the detonation of a nuclear weapon at San Carlos de Bariloche, Argentina, near the Chilean border triggering fears of war in North America,...
Why? It's very much South America and no one has much quarrel TTL with the Nations of North America because we've been very bush keeping to ourselves. I can see Britain and France being concerned though...
1952: Pope Pius XIII announces a call for a second "anti-Communist crusade" during mass in Rome, Italy, targeting the ISA and the Russian successor states,...
When did the ISA become Communist?
1953: Psychohistorian Ward Moore secretly begins the "Project JUBILEE" in an effort to reunify the North American continent, from New York City, New York,...
My problem with the idea and concept of "Psychohistory" is simply it was usable for manipulation of "large mass" of people which the smaller nations of North America (and the world in general other than possible a still existing French and British Empires and Soviet USSR) would make such manipulations far less effective. Frankly if you're going to have "rogue" Psychohistorians around they are going to be working to disrupt and disband the larger nations not re-unite the smaller ones as it's going. The former are less chaotic while the latter will be difficult at best to do the math on.
On that note;
A concept of the late 40s and early 50s was a possible rise of a class of "Free Scientists" who would pursue science for anyone willing to pay as long they were allowed "freedom" within boundaries. An example here if anyone is interested (and pretty good story) by H. Beam Piper called "The Mercenaries" (http://www.gutenberg.org/files/18814/18814-h/18814-h.htm) I can actually see them arising in the CS world due to the vagaries of nation-states. The ideas of science and medicine "without borders" of course carries a LOT of possible outcomes (far more bad than good IMO given some of the more horrific possibilities) TTL than OTL but would it be possible for those groups to both suppress things they didn't want to get out and enhance those they did? The more fantastical and "pulp" science of the CS universe would seem to indicate something more akin to this than OTL process. What do you all think?
1954: John Calvin King I, launches an armed insurrection in Dixie, proclaiming "by any means necessary" the need to overthrow the apartheid regime,....
Pretty much a given at some point but it's going to be a "very bad thing" for blacks in Dixie in the end. I can actually see the KKK and Southern "Old Guard" being behind something like this is ANY reforms have been undertaken in the last 20 years so they can leap up and "save" Dixie while telling everyone they told them so and gaining immense popular power over the event. Blaming it on subversives from the PC and Northern powers would help consolidate their power as well. (Hello Falwell theocracy precursors
1954: Crooners Coup led by Frank Sinatra, Dean Martin, Sammy Davis Jr., et al. seizes control of the "Kingdom of Vice" (a.k.a. Las Vegas, Nevada)
And I could see them pushing it as an alternative for media work to the Empire State and Hollywood as well
1958: "Pirate Radio" begin transmitting in portions of Germany, Denmark, Ireland and Great Britain, quickly becoming an international phenomenon,....
Taking their que from the by now hundreds of "independent" radio station in the North American nations
1959: Rocketry becomes a fascination of the North Americans but the defeated Germans still hold the commanding lead, it is a surprise to the British when the Russians put a satellite in orbit only two years after they do so...
Much as I'd like to see this in honesty the technical and resources needed would preclude most "people" from engaging in this unlike aircraft. It might be more important for nations but individuals aren't going to be able to participate which is what was a driver for aviation.
1960- The Magnificent Seven documentary made about a mercenary aero squadron defending a island in the Caribbean.(that's not a bad scenario idea)
Great idea as it's perfect for the genre
1961: Elijah Muhammad, leader of the Nation of Islam (NOI), and George Lincoln Rockwell, North American Fascist Party (NAFP) announce a summit in New York City, New York,....
That's going to go SO well
1961: Robert F. Williams launches Radio Free Dixie in Monroe, North Carolina, calling upon African-Americans to launch an armed insurrection in Dixie, triggering fears of a race war across the continent,.....
And if the Protectorate of the Outer Banks has lasted this long it's going down now, in flames. Given the probable tensions brought about by the earlier King 1 insurrection EVERYONE is going to stand aside as this gets flattened. Really BAD timing.
1961: Celtic League is formed by Hugh McDiarmid in Dublin, calling for the creation of Pan-Celtic Empire, uniting Ireland, Wales, Brittany, Cornwall, Isle of Man, and Scotland,...
And pic the most fractious groups to try and organize why don't you
1961: An even greater surprise was the cooperation of Hollywood, Dixie, and the Empire State in the Star Alliance space program launching their first satellite via a two-stage system using seven Aerojet X-8s as a first stage and one as a second stage.Their first man in space (reportedly decided by a drinking contest of all things!) would be David McCampbell flying his 'Progress' capsule from Cape Canaveral to near Britain.
I'd say anyone BUT Dixie here as they have enough internal problems at the moment. Either Hollywood or the Empire State could actually do this much (its a suborbital flight after all, and why are you launching NORTH of all directions?) on their own. I'd suggest an Empire State flight from New Jersey to near Britain as it's more plausible. Meanwhile Hollywood in conjunction with the Kingdom of Hawaii launches a similar suborbital hop from Hawaii to off the California coast.
(My gut tells me though these would both be "Sangar" type spaceplanes rather than capsules due to a lot more pressure given the love of aircraft towards winged vehicles)
1962: North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) , launched by President John F. Kennedy of the New England Confederation, serves to establish a a military and political alliance to provide relative peace in the Western Hemisphere,....
Going to point out again it's far to early for a North American UN with teeth. Free Trade is possible but a military and political union would be a step to far unless there's an outside threat you haven't brought up yet. Sorry but the butterflies would have to be B-52s (with some European markings on them) for this to fly at this point. It's been a little over 30 years at this point.
1962: North America gets the first man into space, fueling the start of the "Space Race",....
Since France and the UK (and most of Europe) at this point are either cooperating to contain Communism or more fractious due to other factors I'd wager that a Franco/British effort would put the first man in space if the Soviets don't do it first. Since North America is not much of a threat or even a concern for the Euro-Asian nations it would be little noticed in the US and IF the "American's" do it first then everyone's going to be worried about their ability (specifically as you have them "United" at the moment and therefore a much more credible "threat" to everyone else) project power outside of North America. This would quickly devolve into a "Cold War" where Europe is trying to break the US up again while containing and limiting the influence of the world Communism.
This is why I'd look to take out "World Communism" sooner as in a WWII analog. You'd have a lot more tensions in Europe with a stronger Germany after the war and a weakened France and England but on average they would be a tripartite power structure. A possible issue with a Communist China might balance that out but probably not as they have a lot of room between them and it. Under the circumstances given they are going to be looking at breaking up the US before it becomes a problem for them.
1962: Philip K. Dick begins launching nationalist rallies calling for the expulsion of all foreign troops from the North American continent, starting in San Francisco, California,...
And that would be the spark to get them motivated
1963: Treaty of Lagos; African Union (AU) is formed in Lagos, Nigeria, serving as the political union of the continent severing all ties with European colonialist leaders,....
Obviously caused by African's of American descent instigating a revolution in the European sphere of influence!
1964-Hughes-Goddard announced the successful launch of a orbital craft. Piloted by Charles "Chuck"Yeager and test subject Norma Jean (femme fatale and reputedly Einstein's mistress) the 'Atalanta' conducted tests for future flights and took extensive photographs of the Earth. Rival companies have announced they will follow suit after H-G has shown the way.
Isn't she a mafioso as well? Seriously two people into orbit on the fist try is step to far. Just send Chuck
1965: Treaty of Helsinki; Nordic leaders led by Hans Hedtoft, call for the creation of a Greater Scandinavia,...
More American backed interference within Europe, truely these colonials need to be brought to heel... (Ya THAT speech is going to play VERY well in NA
1966-Europa Treaty(no NATO) begins to unravel: France and Spain quit due to economic/political/ego reasons, Greece and Turkey's 'altercations' erupt into full scale war. Germany's Civil War ends with Imperial Restorationists defeating the last remnants of Nazism at their so-called National Redoubt. Internal strife continues as a Imperial administration takes hold.
1966: Treaty of Europa is criticized as being "the Dictator's Club", citing a lack of commitment towards human rights or economic reforms,....
Moved that around for you
1967-Mid East Coalition Six-Day Summit which establishes economic, political and religious ties for the region. Consensus that it would be better to sell arms, oil and goods to the rest of the world together than tear each other apart. Also establishes a lucrative global corporate merc system.(that way there can be a 'Texas-Israeli War'.)
Find a way to negate British influence earlier in Palestine and this might work. And while I like T/IW as a book it really doesn't work as well as a background without a total removal of everyone hostile to Israel somehow. Given you reconstituted the Persian Empire earlier that's going to be difficult.
1967: Argentinean, African Union, and Chinese forces begin transporting drugs en masse into North America, Europe, et al., under a policy of neo-mercantilism,...
Well now you've given a good reason for Europe and North America to go to war together to stop this as it's clearly an attempt to undermine and subvert the Northern Hemisphere's governments. Seriously, such an overt act would get each and every nation participating bombed into the stone age and taken over as new colonies of the effected nations
1967: Principality of Sealand established by Paddy Roy Bates, becomes the first nation-state formed from an artificial territory (an abandoned oil rig), off the coast of Great Britain,....
And there's a good use for your Israeli Mercs. Taken over by a "dissenter" and blown up with dynamite.
1968: Pope Paul VI calls for a renewed call for the "liberation of the Holy Land", recruiting Christian militia and mercenary forces across the globe,....
What brings this on? Frankly he's not going to get much support even with the above "coalition" holding the holy lands. Most national governments are going to be calling on him to reign in South America over the above drug issues and this is just out there.
1968-Pope Paul VI increases the monastic/convent orders, re-instates military orders and forms a Papal Airforce.(very strict flying nuns..)
Nuns in tight flight suits aside this is going to cause Italy to "do something" about this nut let alone the rest of the world. This would be a direct threat to Italy's government.
1969: Reverend Charles Manson, Family Ministries, launches a series of murders and bombings in Los Angeles, California aimed at triggering a "racial holy war"
Charles Manson, "self-proclaimed" Reverend of the Family of Light, maybe and he'd be put down faster and harder than OTL I'm thinking as no one wants this to actually become a thing. Yet it WILL end up leading to such activities as it did OTL.
1969: Elvis Presley seizes control of the "Kingdom of Vice" (a.k.a. Las Vegas, Nevada) proclaiming a "new era in music and culture",...
Can't argue with the King can I
1969-1971: American Indian Movement (AIM) guerrilla forces seize control of Alcatraz Island, proclaiming an independent state,...
Still Hollywood's premier prison so I don't see it and while they might work as per below it won't fly in Hollywood any longer than it takes to drop some gas bombs on them. (Knockout gas of course but...)
1970: American Indian Movement (AIM) led by Iron-Wielder, Leonard Peltier, and Russell Means, launch an armed insurrection in North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Wyoming, and Montana,...
Where it infringes on the ISA I see this failing, hard. Under your NAFTA union though this can't and won't stand and there will be NAFTA troops probably all the way to the Arctic circle under the circumstances. Under still dis-United States I see this being more successful though it will mostly be Pacifica that suffers and I still see it failing on the borders of the ISA and not gaining much traction in the PC. Deseret won't give up Wyoming territory without a fight as it's too close to Utah.
1974-Warsaw Pact cascading revolt against troops used in Chinese theater.
What brought about the Warsaw Pact? (You recall you insist there is no NATO and the Europa agreement isn't as much of a threat without US backing as a standing nation) The USSR isn't TTL going to include most of the Northern European nations unless we had exactly the same WWII and I've pointed out that's not likely.
1976: Biological weapons are unleashed, ending the Sino-Russian War, but triggering a massive humanitarian crisis as the few remaining systems that maintained the illusion of state stability suddenly collapse on both sides of the conflict,....
I can see this but it would probably happen before a Communist Victory in China and I'd have it happening around the middle of WWII. Especially if it looks like Communist China and the USSR are going to gang up on the Nationalists and to get rid of Japan as threat. (Then again I'm leaning towards Japan and the USSR agreeing to divide China among them with the USSR supporting a Communist China rump-state till they can "get around" to taking out the Japanese and the Japanese thinking the same thing)
1977: Elvis Presley dies, causing a major succession crisis, Queen Ann-Margret launches a series of brutal executions in an effort to maintain power in the "Kingdom of Vice" (a.k.a. Las Vegas, Nevada),...
While I see a 'succession crisis" over Elvis' death it would be more shadowy and less overt. Beside you want to have a call going out for the next "king" of Jazzy-Blues to come an audition to take his spot. (Six String Samurai
1977: African-American gang leader Cornelius "King" Young is assassinated allegedly by police, after uniting the various gangs under his banner in New York City, New York,...
Hey at least it's a lot less messy than having the Navy fire on the city like they did when the White Gangs took over
1978: First pirate television broadcasts are launched in Syracuse, New York in an effort to promote resistance across North America,....
To what? And why TV since with radio you don't have to show your face where the "authorities" can see it.
1979: Juhayman al-Otaybi is proclaimed Mahdi in Mecca, proclaiming the Caliphate in Mecca, claiming control over most of the Middle East and North Africa,....
There goes the "unity" of the Middle East...
1979: Order of Prometheus is established by L. Neil Smith as a ultra-nationalist effort to reunify the former United States of America in Denver, Colorado,...
NAFTA already did that so this doesn't make sense in context. I can see it if NAFTA isn't working fast enough and there is still little in place other than trade but you have a military and political union already. AND someone who's taken control of the government and is trying to reestablish a Federal system. (Assuming that's what the above pirate TV is about)
This only works where NAFTA fails completely.
1980: America United members launch a purge of North American Parliament members of "foreign agents" in Washington D.C.,..
Already happened and this would cause NAFTA to fully fall apart
1981: Manhattan Island is completely submerged after years of flooding since c.1945, but residents refuse to leave, transforming the city into a modern-day Venice,....
What caused the flooding and why is it permanent?
1981: American and European dissidents led by William S. Burroughs seize control of Madagascar, establishing the "Independent Republic of Libertatia",....
This is another thing that's going to end "well" I'm sure...
quote]1983: "Screaming Lord" David Edward Sutch seizes control of the English government in a political coup in London, England,....[/quote]
For those of us without context what's the main thrust of this happening? New British Empire? Fascism? Communist? Declares himself King? What?
1984: Pope John Paul II launches a call for a third "anti-Communist crusade" during mass in Gdansk, Poland, signaling that "We are blessed by the Virgin Mary",...
The USSR and China have both collapsed into plague ridden nations so where's this directed and at whom? (And he's got his own Air Force and militant orders so why declare it in Poland and not at "home" in Rome?)
1985: Church of Elvis Presley is established in Memphis, Tennessee and the "Republic of Vice"(Las Vegas, Nevada),...
This has always been an "in" joke OTL but does anyone really see this happening?
1986: Dixie declares a "State of Emergency" citing growing opposition to the apartheid regime by African-American guerrillas and calls to release John Calvin King I from prison,.....
This would be relevant but with NAFTA either the revolt never happened or it's more nation wide as NAFTA troops were used to put down the rebellion. Given that NAFTA has pretty much collapsed due to internal coups (at least twice) Dixie would have done this sooner and there would be no help from the outside which means it's going to be bloodier and earlier.
1986-1992: Collapse of the Greater East Asian Co-Prosperity Sphere due to armed insurrections and revolutions throughout East Asia from the Philippines to Manchukuo, triggering a refugee crisis across the region,....
When did the GEACPS happen and how? For this to happen Japan had to stay out of WWII and not attack or move into any allied nations and I don't see this happening. Further it would have been involved in the Sino-Soviet war and it's aftermath which would have it collapsing (due to its dependency on China/Manchukuo it's going to be a victim of the biological warfare and fare much poorer when things collapse) sooner and be much worse off.
1989: Reverend Pat Robertson takes control of the "America United" movement in Atlanta, Georgia, proclaiming a Christian theocracy,...
Not much effect since NAFTA is no longer viable and no nation is going to take him seriously.
1991: NAFTA forces launch an invasion of Texas, after it threatens to seize oil platforms in the Gulf of Mexico, Coalition forces led by New England Confederation President George H.W. Bush overthrow the regime led by H. Ross Perot,....
After THREE coups, (including two parliamentary purges) how is NAFTA even able to be a cohesive organization let alone command any troops and why if it IS still viable it it attacking Texas which is a part of it? EVERY nation would withdraw their troops and bomb the "capitial" flat at this point and wash their hands of anything resembling "Unionist" policies forever more after this kind of fiasco. No way they would "win" anything it just doesn't follow logically. NAFTA is a horrible mess within a few years of founding under this scenerio.
Sorry but I can't buy any of the NAFTA timeline it just doesn't make sense under the circumstances and especially as unstable and counterproductive as it becomes so soon after founding.
1992: Siege of Los Angeles, General Darryl Gates launches a siege of the city, imposing martial law, claiming that he is attempting to root out corruption, ...
Coup in Hollywood or what brought this on?
1994: Reconquista Mexico (a.k.a. Second Mexican-American War) Carlos Truxillo and Jose Angel Gutierrez lead a war of reconquest against the former United States, in an attempt to reconquer California, Nevada, New Mexico, Arizona, Texas, Utah and Colorado,....
Given the above there's no one to stop them short of the Canadian border now
1994: Vladimir Zhirinovsky launches an ultra-nationalist revolution in Moscow, calling for the unification of the Eurasian continent under his rule, as a means to counter the threat to the Caliphate,....
Got those plagues under control Vlad? Given 17 years this will be about putting the core of Russia back together but I don't see anyone taking it seriously for another decade or so. Or him having the power to get much further by that time. (Assuming whomever used bio attacks the last time doesn't simply release a new strain to quite him down)
1994: Crime lords Tupac Shakur and Notorious B.I.G. , take advantage of the Second Mexican-American War, uniting their resources on the East and West coasts of the North American continent,...
Or they take advantage to launch a coup on the Kingdom of Vice to spread the "new" sound of the Black Soul
1994: Psychohistorian Harry Turtledove emerges as one of the leaders of the field, creating "analogue system equations " which serve to predict events with uncanny accuracy, in Los Angeles, California,...
1995: Psychohistorian Robert Conroy, utilising the same programs of Harry Turtledove , calls for basic reforms in the former Industrial States of America,...
Shout outs are cool but I still have major issues with "psychohistory" and any assumptions that in the CS universe it's going to be able to "handle" people
1995: "Sliders" movement is launched by Tracy Torme and Robert K. Weiss, proclaiming "technological interconnection " justifying political reunification of the North American continent, with rallies starting in San Francisco, California,...
Four years after NAFTA troops have taken over Texas someone is STILL trying to "unite" the US? I think you need to fully re-read your own timeline
1996: Neo-Swing Music Renaissance; Groups such as the Squirrel Nut Zippers, Michael Buble, Connie Champagne, Lavay Smith & the Hot-Skillet Lickers, Pink Martini, the Brian Setzer Orchestra, serve to revive the music scene
And move it away from the Kingdom of Vice where entertainment is now centered?
1996: Japanese officials launch policy of "Hikkomori" (extreme isolationism) sealing themselves from the rest of the world after the collapse of the Co-Prosperity Sphere,...
Think they would have done this at the end of the Sino-Soviet war and the START of the collapse due to infection by the bio-weapons.
2001: World Social Forum (WSF) is established in Porto Alegre, Brazil, citing the ineffective nature of the League of Nations and its Eurocentric and racist nature,....
How did the LoN survive any sort of WWII? I'd have expected this to happen in the 1970s actually.
2002: Elon Musk, Stephen Hawking, Neil Degrasse Tyson, Carl Sagan, launch the "ARK Intiative" to evacuate Earth, citing the growing anti-intellectualism, environmental destruction, and the political anarchy (Think Sky Captain & the World of Tomorrow)
Planning on using an atomic rocket that obliterates the Earth on take off as well? I suspect SOMEONE is going to have issue if so
2003: Coalition forces launch a second attack into Texas, after the threat of an embargo against NAFTA states, trigger civil unrest and panic across much of the North American continent,....
??? They WON the first time around and if THAT didn't trigger "civil unrest and panic"...
2003: Tom Kratman , New England Confederation, calls for national reunification citing his outrage over the growing wave of "cultural socialism ",...
WTF? NAFTA isn't "re-unified" enough for him and WHAT cultural socialism?
Needs some editing and work
Randy