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The story goes Luther was walking in a storm, & nearly struck by lightning, swore he'd become a priest, instead of a lawyer.
WI the weather had been better that day? How much difference would it make to the future?
Is a Protestant split from the Catholic Church prevented? Judging by the number of supporters, like Calvin, I'd say not. Given the widespread practise of indulgences, I'd also say somebody's bound to complain loud enough to create some kind of schism in time.
Am I wrong?
And without the Protestant Church, what does history look like? No controversy over Henry VIII's marriages, certainly (even allowing he exists...). No religious wars. (Substitute Crusades?)