WI Louis XVI is not captured at Varennes and proclaims a counter-revolution?

Louis XVI's indecision on how to deal with revolutionary demands was one of the causes of the forcible transfer of the royal family from the Palace of Versailles to the Tuileries in Paris on 6 October, 1789 after Versailles had been attacked by mob. Thenceforward the king seems to have become emotionally paralyzed, leaving most important decisions to the politically untrained queen to make on her own. Prodded by the queen, Louis committed himself and his family to a disastrous attempt to escape from the capital to the eastern frontier on 21 June, 1791. With the dauphin's governess, the Marquise de Tourzel taking on the role of a Russian baroness, the queen and the king's sister Madame Elisabeth playing her maids, the king her butler, and the royal children her daughters, the royal family made their escape. The escape was largely planned by Count Axel von Fersen (Antoinette's presumed lover) and the Baron de Breteuil. Due to the cumulative effect of a host of errors which in and of themselves would not have condemned the mission to failure, the royal family was thwarted in its escape when the king was recognized in the revolutionary town of Varennes, not far from its ultimate destination, the heavily fortified royalist citadel of Montmedy.
WI Louis XVI and the Royal escort werent recognised at Varennes and escaped to Montmedy where the King would proclaim a counter-revolution?
How is that altering History? Any thoughts?
 
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