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He and Queen Mary were already quite on the outs by the time of the assassination (even though she did drop by to play the lute right to cheer him up from smallpox right before his sick house got blown up). Since he DID survive being blown up, WI he had somehow outrun those in Bothwell's service who strangled him and made it to safety? In addition to being the infant Heir Appearant's father, he WAS the King Consort of Scotland. Could Lord Darnley have somehow used that attempt to try to force Mary's Abdication in favor of their son with himself as Regent or would he have not had enough support? Also, there's the question of whether his altered appearance from smallpox may have been somehow been something that would have driven off what little support he may have had. Since he had wed Mary against Elizabeth's express orders, I seriously doubt he'd have gotten safe passage back to England.
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