Some time in the 1930s, someone in the Japanese government makes an analysis similar to the one quoted below, and is listed to:
As a result, Japan's foreign policy towards the US in the late thirties and after can be summud up as 'Let Sleeping Giants Lie'. Don't give the Americans a reason to go to war, and if someone else does, make sure Japan is seen as either neutral, or an ally.
So, what effect does this have on WWII? Personally, I could see the European from still happening. Hitler was a megalomaniac, and Churchil and Roosevelt were just ruthless enough to create a casus belli that could be reliably blamed on Germany.
Zero probability event.
I think that Jonathan Parshall posted the best analysis of the economic issue available online here:
http://www.combinedfleet.com/economic.htm
A couple highlights
The United States had:
Nearly twice the population of Japan.![]()
Seventeen time's Japan's national income.![]()
Five times more steel production.![]()
Seven times more coal production.![]()
Eighty (80) times the automobile production.![]()
That's BEFORE the war
Overall the United States had almost 42% of the total industrial warmaking potential of the entire world, Japan had 2.5%
As a result, Japan's foreign policy towards the US in the late thirties and after can be summud up as 'Let Sleeping Giants Lie'. Don't give the Americans a reason to go to war, and if someone else does, make sure Japan is seen as either neutral, or an ally.
So, what effect does this have on WWII? Personally, I could see the European from still happening. Hitler was a megalomaniac, and Churchil and Roosevelt were just ruthless enough to create a casus belli that could be reliably blamed on Germany.