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Not sure if this has been done here or not but what if Lenin's sealed train suffers from a catastrophic rail accident on the way to Russia like, for example, a rock slide in the Swiss Alps after leaving Bern?

The October Revolution is still likely to happen, Lenin's failure to reach Russia won't change the flow of events or the Bolshevik's growing popularity with the peasants or change what Trotsky does with the Red Army. What do you see happening after keeping in mind that Lenin won't be around to issue the Ban on Factions in 1921 or reject Trotsky's proposal to end War Communism in 1920.
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