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What if Ludedorff had deemed it too dangerous to allow Lenin and his compatriots to go to Russia?

Lenin was instrumental in the Bolsheviks ending up in power, arriving at the right time and at the right place to upset the already derailing train that was Russia in 1917.

Russia was losing the war badly at that point, with the Kerensky Offensive having turned out to be a disaster and soldiers were deserting by the millions along with the general government having to work with the Soviets and the hundred other factors that were creating instability at the time.

Would the Status Quo have stabilized? Who would win out without the Bolsheviks there to upset the turnip cart? Would a treaty like Brest-Litvosk still have been signed? Would socialism have proven to be as big of a problem in the German ranks?

I have a hundred other questions on the subject and am having trouble figuring out how big of a role Lenin and company actually played.
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