As the title says what if Jean Marie Le Pen wins the 2002 French Presidential election?
As the title says what if Jean Marie Le Pen wins the 2002 French Presidential election?
Only way is a Socialist v National Front run off.
Anything else would make it impossible.
Only way is a Socialist v National Front run off.
Anything else would make it impossible.
Actually, I think Le Pen would have done much better against Jospin (still a third or less of the vote of course) but in a head-to-head against a leftist, I think he would have consolidated a larger fraction of the rightmost Gaullists. Imagine the following political spectra (the exact distances are no doubt wrong but the relative locations are accurate):Jospin would have wiped the floor with LePen and unlike Chirac it wouldn't have had to be sold as "pick the crook, not the fascist".
Actually, I think Le Pen would have done much better against Jospin (still a third or less of the vote of course) but in a head-to-head against a leftist, I think he would have consolidated a larger fraction of the rightmost Gaullists. Imagine the following political spectra (the exact distances are no doubt wrong but the relative locations are accurate):
______________________C___LP_
______J___________________LP_
Versus Chirac, Le Pen has nowhere to go to expand his vote share.
You honestly think that Le Pen would win if Jospin, rather than Chirac, made it to the second round?
Cumbria in Enochs National Front didnt Le Pen make it into the second round in 1988?I dont think he would be he would gat far more than 18-19% that he got against Chirac.
Cumbria in Enochs National Front didnt Le Pen make it into the second round in 1988?