WI Lawrence of Arabia

During the battle of Aqaba, Lawrence accidentally shot the camel he was riding in the back of the head. At the last moment, he was thrown to the side and avoided death. What would have happened if he hadn't been as lucky and was killed?

Also, first post.
 
Nice to have you here! I just wanted to say that; I know very little about Lawrence of Arabia, so I can't help you here.

and bump.
 
During the battle of Aqaba, Lawrence accidentally shot the camel he was riding in the back of the head. At the last moment, he was thrown to the side and avoided death. What would have happened if he hadn't been as lucky and was killed?

Also, first post.

Welcome. I'm by no means an expert on Western Asia in the early twentieth century, but I suspect that it will not change much in the near term.
 
I don't remember where, but IIRC Lawrence managed to convince the British government to grant eastern Palestine (Transjordan) to Abdullah bin al-Hussein. With no independent (Trans)Jordan, the whole of Palestine remains under Jewish (and later Israeli) control.

Maybe during the Israeli war of independence, they make a deal with the Palestinian Arabs- the Arabs receive eastern Palestine (minus control of the Jordan River and the Dead Sea) in exchange for a peace treaty and a demilitarized border.
 
I don't remember where, but IIRC Lawrence managed to convince the British government to grant eastern Palestine (Transjordan) to Abdullah bin al-Hussein. With no independent (Trans)Jordan, the whole of Palestine remains under Jewish (and later Israeli) control.

Maybe during the Israeli war of independence, they make a deal with the Palestinian Arabs- the Arabs receive eastern Palestine (minus control of the Jordan River and the Dead Sea) in exchange for a peace treaty and a demilitarized border.
Even if they were going to sign a peace treaty with Israel, why in gods name would they give control of nearly all the water in the region to them?
 
My guess is that the British could convince the Arabs to go with the 1919 proposed borders, along with assurances that they would have access to freshwater.
 
My guess is that the British could convince the Arabs to go with the 1919 proposed borders, along with assurances that they would have access to freshwater.
It is pretty much ASB that the Arabs are going to accept that. Amman (the largest settlement in the transjordan) is vunerable to attack, there is nearly no guarenteed access to freshwater sources, and it will be extremerly difficult convincing the Arabs to let go of nearly all the land sutible for farming in Palestine and the Transjordan.
 
I'll admit, the Arabs allowing the Jews complete control over the Jordan River and the surrounding areas is (almost entirely) ASB.

But Lawrence, during a conference in Cairo in 1921, along with others (like Sir Percy Cox, etc) led to Churchill offering Transjordan to Abdullah al-Hussein. While it's still possible that the conference leads to Arab control over Transjordan, Lawrence was (at least in my mind) the main driving force.
 
I'll admit, the Arabs allowing the Jews complete control over the Jordan River and the surrounding areas is (almost entirely) ASB.

But Lawrence, during a conference in Cairo in 1921, along with others (like Sir Percy Cox, etc) led to Churchill offering Transjordan to Abdullah al-Hussein. While it's still possible that the conference leads to Arab control over Transjordan, Lawrence was (at least in my mind) the main driving force.
Even If the Arabs don't have the relatively sympathetic voice of Lawrence there, the British will still have to take into consideration the wishes of the Arab population (at least partially). And keep in mind that the Jewish population of Palestine was only 83,000 in 1922, as apposed to 589,000 Arabs. It was still uncertian at this time as to whether Zionism would be successful, so the British are not going to want to favor the Jews too heavily.
 
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