Blair set a record in 2005 for getting a majority on the lowest popular vote percentage in UK electoral history.
The thing is that for whatever reason, the boundary commissioners had turned a really pro-Labour map. Its very hard to make popular vote adjustments to get a Tory majority, or even to get them the greatest number of seats in Parliament. This is the best I was able to do using electoral calculus:
Labour 290 31.2% of the vote (down 5%)
Conservative 259 36.2% of the vote (up 3%)
Lib Dem 65 24.6% of the vote (up 2%)
SNP/ PC 11 2.3% of the vote combined
N. Ireland 18
Here is the link showing the changes in the individual constituencies:
http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/usercode.py?CON=36.2&LAB=31.2&LIB=24.6&UKIP=&Green=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVUKIP=&TVGreen=&SCOTCON=&SCOTLAB=&SCOTLIB=&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTGreen=&SCOTNAT=&display=AllMajoritySorted®orseat=(none)&boundary=2005ob
What would have happened after this result?
The thing is that for whatever reason, the boundary commissioners had turned a really pro-Labour map. Its very hard to make popular vote adjustments to get a Tory majority, or even to get them the greatest number of seats in Parliament. This is the best I was able to do using electoral calculus:
Labour 290 31.2% of the vote (down 5%)
Conservative 259 36.2% of the vote (up 3%)
Lib Dem 65 24.6% of the vote (up 2%)
SNP/ PC 11 2.3% of the vote combined
N. Ireland 18
Here is the link showing the changes in the individual constituencies:
http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/usercode.py?CON=36.2&LAB=31.2&LIB=24.6&UKIP=&Green=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVUKIP=&TVGreen=&SCOTCON=&SCOTLAB=&SCOTLIB=&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTGreen=&SCOTNAT=&display=AllMajoritySorted®orseat=(none)&boundary=2005ob
What would have happened after this result?