WI: Labour keep Holyrood in 2007?

In 2007, only a few weeks before Tony Blair's resignation, the 2007 Elections to the Scottish Parliament were held. The SNP had a massive surge, taking twenty seats, though only ending up with a lead of one.

A small swing of 2% from SNP to Labour ends up with:

Labour - 51 Seats (+1)*
SNP - 42 Seats (+15)
Conservative and Liberal Democrat - OTL

So, how does this result change Scotland? Would the SNP simply win in 2011 (though I don't think they would reach a majority)? Would McConnell stick around or would he pass the torch on to Alexander/Murphy/Lamont around 2010/11? How would Labour govern between 2007-11? Would it have a positive effect (or any effect at all) on Brown's government? Would there be a referendum, and consequently, anything resembling an SNP surge in 2015?

*Interesting note - this swing means that Nicola Sturgeon is defeated in Glasgow Govan.
 
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