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What if President Tyler had been injured during the Peacemaker Incident on February 28, 1844, and died from his wounds a few days later? In this instance, the presidency would pass to the Senator Pro Tempore, Willie Person Magnum of North Carolina, a close ally of Henry Clay.
How does this change the course of history? How is Tyler's work toward annexing Texas affected? How does this, in turn, affect the Election of 1844? And how does all this change the course of American history?
CONSOLIDATE: One possibility is that this actually makes the annexation of Texas happen even sooner, by averting the nomination of Calhoun to be Secretary of State, and thereby the whole Peckham Letter fiasco; alternatively, President Magnum may just not submit the treaty to the Senate at all (kicking the bucket to after the election by way of choice instead of political bungling).