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What if the Japanese invade the Provisional Government on the basis of protecting the ethnic Japanese workers there and then proceed to occupy it militarily? Using part of the Navy they have at the time, they travel to the islands and overthrow the plantation government US citizens have set up.

Is it feasible to annex it? or is the threat of military intervention on the US part too great? From what I know their Navy wasn't doing too well at the time. Could they at the very least guarantee independence/neutrality in a treaty with the US as a signatory? What are the ramifications on the Pacific theater in WW2?
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