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WI: Japan Goes for USSR instead of USA

OK POD is somewhere in 1938 or 1939.
Where Japan is convinced by Nazis to go for Northern expansion instead of south. They tame little bit there policy in China. While finding several Oil fields (The OTL ones no ASB). Germany send them Advisor on Armoured warfare.
Germans are bit off more competent. OK too many pods I must say, but what is the result?

Would Axis win?
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