WI: Japan Gets Siberia? 1920

In early days of Soviet Union, Lenin was willing to give up territory in return for peace. If Japan decided to stay in Siberia with support from League of Nations and Soviet lost a war with Japan like Polish Soviet war, Soviet would give up far east of Siberia to Japan. However, Stalin would plan for revenge 20 years later.

Once Nazi and Soviet pact was signed, Japan would want to distance itself from Nazi and change its foreign policy.

I don't think the Soviets would wait that long. I can see the presence of foreign armies still squatting on Russian territory speeding up the use of Five Year Plans, actually, so you might see a Soviet counteroffensive as early as 1931-32. And in the meantime, there's the question of whether Japan would still want to bear the occupation costs during the Depression, if they're not having success extracting resources.
 
I don't think the Soviets would wait that long. I can see the presence of foreign armies still squatting on Russian territory speeding up the use of Five Year Plans, actually, so you might see a Soviet counteroffensive as early as 1931-32. And in the meantime, there's the question of whether Japan would still want to bear the occupation costs during the Depression, if they're not having success extracting resources.

Pretty sure the historical 5 year plans were rushed along more or less at capacity anyway. Like Mao, Stalin's draconian reorganization of the Soviet economy resulted in very rapid expansion of the industry at the price of huge excess deaths.
 
Pretty sure the historical 5 year plans were rushed along more or less at capacity anyway. Like Mao, Stalin's draconian reorganization of the Soviet economy resulted in very rapid expansion of the industry at the price of huge excess deaths.

Well, yes, I didn't so much mean that the plan itself would go faster, but that it might be implemented earlier, perhaps because of an earlier about-face by Stalin on the matter in the middle of the decade.
 
Didn't the Japanese set up a White Russian puppet state in the Far East? They didn't seem keen on returning to the Soviets until Japan voluntarily relinquished the territory.
 
Well, yes, I didn't so much mean that the plan itself would go faster, but that it might be implemented earlier, perhaps because of an earlier about-face by Stalin on the matter in the middle of the decade.

I meant that as well; the USSR was in horrible shape throughout the 1920s and it took until the early 30s before something like that could even be attempted. If anything the Soviets' industrial development might have been hamstrung even farther by a permanent foreign presence in the Far East to bolster the Whites during the civil war.
 
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