WI Islam remained purely an Arabian phenomena

But you'd need a warlike Jesus willing to use a certain Iranian sword.

Now, I do like the idea of a Nestorian King becoming seen as the Saoshyant. That seems more likely to me. If completely an utterly unacceptable to pious Zoroastrians.

Perhaps our main PoD for this could be the "King of the Nestorians" - basically a great Nestorian warrior/leader is involved in a battle in Mesopotamia against Islam, where he wins a major upsetting victory, or captures Mohammed during the battle - and made him swear to a peace, and renounce the more violent Sura. Zoroastrians could paint this as cleansing Islam of the lie, Christianity as Mohammed accepting Jesus's peaceful nature, and Islam could use this to be an example that all are flawed, and that religious warfare is not the way to expand the faith.

Actually - that'd be an awesome timeline. I just don't know how you'd do it. Perhaps a descendant of al-Nu'man III ibn al-Mundhir revives a desperate Lakhmid force that rallies Mesopotamia - and then for the sake of practicality, creates a multi-religious Lakhmid Persia? Nestorian Mesopotamia, but Zoroastrian Iran.

First of all I agree on the Christian Saosphant, the Iranians would never accept a non Aryan as king unless it was completely lately forced and their spirits crushed. Even in the Arab conquest, we saw massive rebellions such as the Khurramiyah (those of the Joyful religion) one of the main factors in the fall of the Abbasid period.

I do agree a Lahkmids empire would be interesting, I hate to say at this point it was almost impossible. The Lahkmids and their cousin Ghassanids where complete lightweights at this point in Arab history, and the end of
Mawiyya (known in Greek as Mavia) and the great Tanukhids in the past. The main force in north Arabia at this point was the camp of Sajah bint al-Harith, who had the potential to conquer both the Lahkmids and Ghassanids and become more of a force than Mawiyya and the Tanukhids, especially with her alliance with Musaylama.

Like I said the best way to remove Islam as a power and limit it to Arabia or erase it completely is to have Khalid Ibn Walid be defeated and killed by Musaylama at Yamama. If Khalid is defeated and at best killed, Musaylama and Sajah would invade the Hijaz and likely rout Abu Bakr capturing Madinah and Makkah and likely install Abu Sufyan as a puppet.
 
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