WI: HRC vs Romney in 2008

So what if Hillary Rodham Clinton won the Democratic nomination and Mitt Romney won the Republican nomination in 2008? Assuming the economy still implodes in September, would Hillary be able to trounce Romney in a similar fashion to How Obama beat McCain?
 
Romney is the perfect candidate to run against when the economy is collapsing because of the deregulated banking sector.

He's extremely easy to characterize as an aloof plutocrat.

Any candidate running against someone perceived as an aloof plutocrat-at a moment in time when the economy is in free fall-is going to win.

But conversely-the polling will be somewhat closer before September-because Hillary Clinton lacks Barack Obama's novelty and charisma.

She's still going to lead-because George Bush was extremely unpopular and she's the nominee of the other party.

But Romney's support might all but evaporate in September/October.
 
Romney is the perfect candidate to run against when the economy is collapsing because of the deregulated banking sector.

He's extremely easy to characterize as an aloof plutocrat.

Any candidate running against someone perceived as an aloof plutocrat-at a moment in time when the economy is in free fall-is going to win.

But conversely-the polling will be somewhat closer before September-because Hillary Clinton lacks Barack Obama's novelty and charisma.

She's still going to lead-because George Bush was extremely unpopular and she's the nominee of the other party.

But Romney's support might all but evaporate in September/October.

Which states could you see HRC winning?
 
She would win because Romney is a weak candidate and it is very hard for a Republican to win in 2008. But her margin may be the same or smaller than Obama's, what was proven this year is that she is also a very weak and flawed candidate, as she was in 2008. Also, as seen in this election, minority turnout would not be as high for her as Obama, so North Carolina and Virginia are probably going to Romney. However, in 2008 she did well with working-class whites(she won the West Virginia primary 67-29) and so she could make up for reduced minority turnout by winning more white voters, especially since the base is likely to be less enthusiastic. I'd say a different map and she wins by about 1% less than Obama IOTL.
 
genusmap.php

Hillary Clinton/Evan Bayh-Democratic: 360 EV 51.66%

Mitt Romney/Tim Pawlenty-Republican: 178 EV 46.50%

Turns out Bush only won Virginia by 8.20% in 2004 so it could still flip. Arkansas maybe too but I doubt it. Arizona wasn't Romney's home-state so he loses it.

 
genusmap.php

Hillary Clinton/Evan Bayh-Democratic: 360 EV 51.66%

Mitt Romney/Tim Pawlenty-Republican: 178 EV 46.50%

Turns out Bush only won Virginia by 8.20% in 2004 so it could still flip. Arkansas maybe too but I doubt it. Arizona wasn't Romney's home-state so he loses it.

How many senate seats do you think could be carried by the Dems in this scenario?
 
genusmap.php

Hillary Clinton/Evan Bayh-Democratic: 360 EV 51.66%

Mitt Romney/Tim Pawlenty-Republican: 178 EV 46.50%

Turns out Bush only won Virginia by 8.20% in 2004 so it could still flip. Arkansas maybe too but I doubt it. Arizona wasn't Romney's home-state so he loses it.

Why did you switch the party's colors?
 
I'm pretty sure that Hillary, especially one with many Obama-esque accomplishments would be re-elected.

But I'd love to hear why you think that.

I think she'd primarily focus on the economy and infrastructure during her first term so the republicans wouldn't be able to run on a anti healthcare crusade. So to me she easily wins in 2012. If she had a majority in Congress in 2012 that's when I see her going for a public option for healthcare.
 
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