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So because the rocket program isn't going well Hitler dumps it and gives more funding into building bombers and a few more fighters. Due to a POD in world war 1 something personal happens to him that makes him hate the British more than he did in OTL to put Russia off the table until the UK fell.
Basically a TL where:
1) Hitler plays nice with Russia not declaring war on them in 41.
2) The Germans conduct city bombings by night and factory bombings by day. Then later with fighter support bombing London both day and night.
3) Hitler hugely cuts down on the rocket program and uses the funds to build bombers.
4) Both day and night the German's had there fighters attacking air fields and engaging the Brits fighters.
So would the UK have been able to fight the Germans alone in 1941 with a ruthless air campaign over there sky's? Would Churchill have even thought about suing for peace under any terms he would likely get?