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WI Miguel Hidalgo attacks Mexico City in 1810?

By 1810, he had an army of 100.000 men, and outnambered the loyalists (although his troops were less disciplined than the loyalists soldiers). However, he ordered his troops to retreat. Many deserted him, and he troops were eventually defeated. But, what if he had attacked? Would he have won? And, if so, what would have happened next?
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