I think something like the events of OTL will play out even if both AH and Burr survive the duel.
And you would likely be correct (although I don't think Burr would come out nearly as badly as you predict, and Hamilton would doubtless slander and smart-mouth his way off of the sawbuck). However, the possibility of their union exists and is an interesting path on which to speculate, no?
As a matter of fact, I strongly believe in the probability of a failed duel at Weehawken resulting in at least reconciliation, at best an alliance. Incidentally, this is the direction on which I prefer to speculate.
Thank you for your responses, I think we need to read one another's books. I am an ardent Hamilton loather and Burr advocate. Literary recommendations?