WI Gran Sasso Raid Fails

What if the Germans fail to secure Mussolini following the latter's downfall? Who do the Nazis install as puppet in the north, and does that go differently? And what of the fate of Il Duce -- is he handed over to the Nuremberg trials, or do the Italians insist on trying him themselves? And what larger effects, if any, result from this?
 
If the raid falls, it may happen what Student feared, that Mussolinni was either executed or handed over to the Allies.

Perhaps the Germans do not bother to create the RSI and do what they historically did: to seize and de facto incorporate some Italian territories to the Reich and to give a military administration to the rest.

No real change, in fact.
 
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