WI Francis II lives longer?

Fancis II was the son of Henry II and Husband of Mary I of Scotland. In OTL he died when he was 16 from an ear infection that got worse.

What would happen if say he was rather healthy and lived into at least his 40's? Let's also assume that he manages to produce an heir to the throne continuing the Valois dynasty.

How would this affect the French wars of Religion? I'd imagine that since Francois was originally heavily influenced by the Guise familly and Catherine de Medici was his regent that he was fairly Catholic. Perhaps the wars of religion are worse?

Also how would this affect Scotland? Will the son of Francis and Mary return and unite the two countries? I don't think so. I'd wager a great deal of Scottish protestant nobles wouldn't be too happy about that. Elizabeth would probably end up supporting one of James V's illegitamate sons and place him on the throne.

What about England? I think with her marriage to Francis, Mary Stewart's line of succession suddenly looks a whole lot less promising. Who does Elizabeth nominate as her successor? Perhaps the Puritan Henry Hastings decides to show interest in the throne for the good of the country? Or does Elizabeth marry Robert Dudley and pop off an heir to the throne?

What happens in the long run? Do the French ever get around to colonizing Quebec? If not who does?

Anyone have anything else to add?
 
Fancis II was the son of Henry II and Husband of Mary I of Scotland. In OTL he died when he was 16 from an ear infection that got worse.

What would happen if say he was rather healthy and lived into at least his 40's? Let's also assume that he manages to produce an heir to the throne continuing the Valois dynasty.

How would this affect the French wars of Religion? I'd imagine that since Francois was originally heavily influenced by the Guise familly and Catherine de Medici was his regent that he was fairly Catholic. Perhaps the wars of religion are worse?

I don't see the Hugenot problem as being any better or worse than it was. The infamous Hugenot Massacre would probably occur on schedule...

Also how would this affect Scotland? Will the son of Francis and Mary return and unite the two countries? I don't think so. I'd wager a great deal of Scottish protestant nobles wouldn't be too happy about that. Elizabeth would probably end up supporting one of James V's illegitamate sons and place him on the throne.

There probably would be civil war in Scotland, but, in the end, those loyal to Mary, and her Husband, Francis II, would win.

What about England? I think with her marriage to Francis, Mary Stewart's line of succession suddenly looks a whole lot less promising. Who does Elizabeth nominate as her successor? Perhaps the Puritan Henry Hastings decides to show interest in the throne for the good of the country? Or does Elizabeth marry Robert Dudley and pop off an heir to the throne?

Unlikely. Elizabeth never married because she was too skittish about having someone in power over her, having had her father's marital history to inform her...

What happens in the long run? Do the French ever get around to colonizing Quebec? If not who does?

Again, I don't see much change occuring there. If they colonized Quebec OTL, they'd probably colonize Quebec ATL.

Anyone have anything else to add?

If Mary and Francis II produced a healthy son, that son would be King of both Scotland and France, and, in those troubled times, he could be guaranteed to get assisstance from Spain in dealing with "The Heretic Queen". Of course Elizabeth was a canny ruler OTL, and probably would be a canny ruler ATL as well. But, she would definitely have to marry, and try to produce an heir.

Or, she could nominate one of Jane Grey's Sisters to be heir, and marry her off to someone appropriate. How well that would work is anyone's guess. If it fails, then there would be an attempt, probably successful to claim the Throne of England, after Elizabeth's death, for the son of Mary and Francis-let's call this ATL youth Henri III.

What the results of that might be is anyone's guess...
 
I'd have to agree that the Hugenot Massacre would probably occur on schedule. However I'd wager to say that the Hugenot wars would probably be much worse. Catharine de Medici was crucial in passing a number of edicts that gave limited religious freedom to the Hugenots. However ITTL she's not the regent. Though Francois II has reached his majority he's still under the influence of the rabidly Catholic Guise faction. I believe Charles de Guise was the Archbishop of Reims who wanted to begin an inquisition of French Protestants.

This being the case and the fact that a surviving Valois dynasty means no Bourbon dynasty. I'd wager that the French wars of Religion are going to be much nastier. Because of this I also don't see Francis II's son being able to unify Scotland and France. As soon as Marie de Guise dies Elizabeth and the Scottish Protestant nobles will probably set up one of James V's bastard sons as the king of Scotland. Francis II will be kinda distracted by France and England and the Protesants will have the home field advantage.

So what would a worse French war of Religion look like? Would the Hugenots try and set up their own state crowning one of the Bourbons as king? Obviously Spain would get involved. England would be forced to actively aid the Protestants in Holland and France to ensure it's survival. Would the French Wars of Religion turn into an earlier 30 years war?

Anyone else have anything else to add?
 
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